Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 97% implied probability (+0.3pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $401.9K in total ($172 in the last 24h) with $74.5K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.