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Economycloses in 3mo

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source f…

As of 12 September 2026, "↓ 5.70%" leads at 1% implied probability (-0.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↓ 6.00%", from 11% to 39%. The event has traded $85.7K in total ($828 in the last 24h) with $4.6K of liquidity across 14 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.

24h volume
$828
Total volume
$85.7K
Liquidity
$4.6K
Markets
14
31 Dec 2026
FinanceFreddie MacEconomyHousing

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market↓ 5.70%
Yes1.3¢
24h Chg-0.2pp
Mkt Vol$11.6K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

14 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.