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Politicscloses in 4mo

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) is part of the state government (Landesregierung) of any of Germany's 16 federal states at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A party is considered part of a state …

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31 Dec 2026
WorldBerlinGermanyPoliticsElectionsSaxony-AnhaltSachsen-AnhaltWorld ElectionsGerman ElectionsGlobal ElectionsMecklenburg-VorpommernInternational Election Props

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The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.