Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual serving as, appointed as, or deemed to be acting or temporary Speaker will not trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. Only the successf…
As of 1 November 2026, "November 6" leads at 1% implied probability (-3.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $9.3K in total ($6.9K in the last 24h) with $16.0K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.