Sciencecloses in 10mo
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
This market resolves to "Yes" if Climate Central's U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters report for calendar year 2026 counts more than 28 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disaster events. The standing record is 28 events, set in 2023. A count of 28 or fewer resolves this market to "No". The con…
24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$34
Markets
1
1 Jul 2027
WeatherclimateClimate & ScienceNatural Disasters
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.