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Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers…

24h volume
$570
Total volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$79.6K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
DavosPoliticsGeopoliticsTrumpGreenlandDenmark

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker