Politicscloses in 5mo
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional author…
24h volume
$1.8K
Total volume
$7.7M
Liquidity
$82.0K
Markets
3
31 Dec 2026
US-IranIsraelIranGeopoliticsPoliticsMiddle EastWorldTrump Presidency
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
3 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.