18+Data only · No predictions · Play responsiblyHow this site works
Sciencecloses in 11d

Will Tropical Storm Norbert strengthen to a hurricane?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Norbert reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Norbert reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74…

As of 10 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $9 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 22 September 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$9
Markets
1
22 Sept 2026
WeatherclimatehurricaneHurricane Season

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill Tropical Storm Norbert strengthen to a hurricane?
Yes50.0¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
Practice before you trade

Test this market with $10,000 virtual funds

Free account: paper trade on the real order book, follow whale moves, stack airdrop points.

Start free

Already have an account? Sign in

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.