Will Trump rename an ocean by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order to, or signs any bill into law to, or otherwise takes action to officially rename any ocean by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the oceans are defined as: the Atl…
As of 16 October 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 5% implied probability (+0.1pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 31, 2027", from 30% to 32%. The event has traded $34.4K in total ($976 in the last 24h) with $43.0K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.