Politicscloses in 5mo
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market w…
24h volume
$205
Total volume
$25.8K
Liquidity
$13.8K
Markets
3
31 Dec 2026
PoliticsFed ChairFed RatesJerome PowellFedTrumpfederal reserve
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
3 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.