Politicscloses in 5mo

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agr…

24h volume

$481

Total volume

$720.6K

Liquidity

$44.1K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

zelenskyyRussiaTrumpGeopoliticsPoliticsUkraineWorldUkraine Peace Deal

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.