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Politicscloses in 18d

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specif…

As of 12 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 6% implied probability. The event has traded $85.9K in total ($102 in the last 24h) with $861 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 October 2026.

24h volume
$102
Total volume
$85.9K
Liquidity
$861
Markets
2
1 Oct 2026
GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSeptember 30
Yes6.0¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$18.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.