Politicscloses in 5mo

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Arti…

24h volume

$122

Total volume

$6.3M

Liquidity

$86.0K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

NATOPoliticsWorldTrumpUkraineForeign PolicyGeopoliticsGreenland

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.