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Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?

This market will resolve "Yes" if the D4 Exceptional Drought value shown in the official U.S. Drought Monitor's weekly "Categorical Percent Area" statistics table for Virginia published by the National Drought Mitigation Center at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx?dregion,4 is 1.00% or greater in an…

24h volume
$220
Total volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$340
Markets
1
1 Sept 2026
DroughtWeatherclimatevirginia

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker