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Politicscloses in 3mo

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United S…

As of 14 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 94% implied probability (-1.4pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "September 23", from 81% to 74%. The event has traded $1.2M in total ($25.5K in the last 24h) with $111.8K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.

24h volume
$25.5K
Total volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$111.8K
Markets
6
31 Dec 2026
ChinaTrumpGeopoliticsPolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes93.9¢
24h Chg-1.4pp
Mkt Vol$864.2K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

6 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker