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Politicscloses in 3mo

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regard…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 11% implied probability (-1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $164.3K in total ($18 in the last 24h) with $13.1K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.

24h volume
$18
Total volume
$164.3K
Liquidity
$13.1K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
ChinaPoliticsGeopoliticsxi jinpingWorldXiHFC

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Yes10.5¢
24h Chg-1.0pp
Mkt Vol$164.3K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.